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← Rundown2026 Montana Senate race

2026 election · U.S. Senate

2026 Montana Senate race

Incumbent: Steve Daines (Republican)

Kurt AlmeKurt AlmeREPUBLICAN PARTY
SBSeth BodnarINDEPENDENT
vs5 polls
IJR Line — pollster average adjusted by community Influence
OverviewPollsPositionsMedia

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first
AlmeBankheadBodnarAustin
0%25%50%Jun 11Jul 4Jul 27Alme 42.8%Bankhead 23.0%Bodnar 23.6%Austin 3.4%
Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling
  • Steve Daines
    Steve Daines

    Republican · Incumbent

    Stated positions (20) ▾
    • Abortion: Opposes abortion and defends the rights of the preborn with no exceptions for rape or incest. [1][2]
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports securing the southern border including building a wall to stop illegal immigration and drug trafficking. [1][2]
    • Economy & Taxation: Supports the 2017 tax cuts, reduced regulation on small businesses, and repeal of Obamacare's tax/regulatory burdens to spur job growth.

More races

Troy Downing2026 Montana House race — Troy Downing's seat · same ballotRyan K. Zinke2026 Montana House race — Ryan K. Zinke's seat · same ballotJohn CornynJames Talarico2026 Texas Senate raceDan SullivanMary Peltola2026 Alaska Senate raceJames E. RischDavid Jordan Roth2026 Idaho Senate race

Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

PollsterDatesCandidate%
Tavern Research (D)2026-07-27Kurt Alme (R)49
Tavern Research (D)2026-07-27Alani Bankhead (D)24
Tavern Research (D)2026-07-27Seth Bodnar (I)25
Tavern Research (D)2026-07-27Kyle Austin (L)2
GQR (D)2026-07-26Kurt Alme (R)41
GQR (D)2026-07-26Alani Bankhead (D)22
GQR (D)2026-07-26Seth Bodnar (I)27
GQR (D)2026-07-26Kyle Austin (L)6
Bullfinch Group (R)2026-07-16Kurt Alme (R)36
Bullfinch Group (R)2026-07-16Alani Bankhead (D)22
Bullfinch Group (R)2026-07-16Seth Bodnar (I)24
GrayHouse (R)2026-06-24Kurt Alme (R)41
GrayHouse (R)2026-06-24Alani Bankhead (D)25
GrayHouse (R)2026-06-24Seth Bodnar (I)17
GrayHouse (R)2026-06-24Kyle Austin (L)3
Hart Research (D)2026-06-24Kurt Alme (R)47
Hart Research (D)2026-06-24Alani Bankhead (D)22
Hart Research (D)2026-06-24Seth Bodnar (I)25
Tavern Research (D)2026-06-19Kurt Alme (R)49
Tavern Research (D)2026-06-19Alani Bankhead (D)26
Tavern Research (D)2026-06-19Seth Bodnar (I)24
Tavern Research (D)2026-06-19Kyle Austin (L)2
Public Opinion Strategies (R)2026-06-11Kurt Alme (R)44
Public Opinion Strategies (R)2026-06-11Alani Bankhead (D)25
Public Opinion Strategies (R)2026-06-11Seth Bodnar (I)20
Public Opinion Strategies (R)2026-06-11Kyle Austin (L)4
[1]
  • Education: Supports empowering states, local school boards, parents, and teachers over federal mandates with focus on STEM and trades. [1]
  • Election integrity: voter ID: Supports the SAVE Act to strengthen election integrity through voter identification requirements. [1]
  • Energy & Natural Resources: Supports increased production of American-made energy and natural resources, opposing restrictions like the Keystone pipeline shutdown. [1][2]
  • Energy production: Supports an all-of-the-above approach to energy dominance including coal, oil, natural gas, renewables, and nuclear. [1]
  • Federal spending & debt: Opposes excessive federal spending and views the national debt as generational theft. [1][2]
  • Fentanyl & drug enforcement: Opposes fentanyl trafficking through the southern border and supports stronger enforcement. [1][2]
  • Fiscal Responsibility: Advocates tackling the nation's escalating debt and reducing regulatory burden on businesses. [1]
  • Gun policy: Supports Second Amendment rights for law-abiding citizens and opposes new federal restrictions on firearms. [1][2]
  • Health Care: Supports full repeal of Obamacare, favors doctor/patient-centered decisions, protection of preexisting conditions, price transparency, and medical liability reform. [1]
  • Health care: Supports full repeal of Obamacare while protecting those with preexisting conditions and prioritizing doctors and patients over government. [1][2]
  • Immigration & Border Security: Calls for securing the southern border, stemming migrant flows, and reforming asylum standards; criticizes Biden-era border policies as too lenient. [1][2][3]
  • Medical gender transition for minors: Opposes gender-transition procedures for minors and supports holding medical practitioners accountable. [1][2]
  • National Security: Criticizes the Biden administration's handling of national security issues, including the Afghanistan withdrawal and the Chinese spy balloon incident. [1]
  • Pro-Life / Family Values: Supports promoting a culture of life from conception to natural death and encouraging stable families. [1]
  • Second Amendment: Committed to protecting the right to bear arms for law-abiding citizens and opposing further gun control measures. [1]
  • Taxes: Supports tax cuts to provide relief to American families and workers. [1]
  • Women's sports: Opposes allowing men to compete in women's sports. [1]
  • AI
    Alani Ines Bankhead

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • Kurt Alme
    Kurt Alme

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (8) ▾
    • Abortion: Pro-life; endorsed as pro-life champion. [1]
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports using immigration charges and tough enforcement to secure borders. [1][2]
    • Congressional term limits: Supports constitutional amendment for congressional term limits. [1]
    • Crime & policing: Supports cracking down on violent crime and drug trafficking. [1][2][3]
    • Federal spending & debt: Supports cutting wasteful spending and requiring Congress to balance the budget. [1][2]
    • Fentanyl & drug enforcement: Supports aggressive enforcement targeting fentanyl, opioids, and methamphetamine networks. [1][2][3]
    • Gun policy: Supported by NRA with 'A' rating. [1]
    • Taxes: Supports tax cuts and opposes new taxes. [1][2][3]
  • KA
    Kyle Austin

    LIBERTARIAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (7) ▾
    • Abortion: Opposes a federal ban on abortion. [1]
    • China & trade: Supports zero tariffs on imports and exports for allies, with tariffs for non-allies to encourage compliance. [1]
    • Election integrity: voter ID: Supports Save Act, verifying petition signatures for legality, and requiring valid legal ID for all signatures. [1]
    • Federal spending & debt: Supports stopping out-of-control spending, eliminating waste, balancing the budget, and reducing national debt. [1][2][3]
    • Health care: Supports reducing government involvement in healthcare to lower costs and innovating via Healthcare 2.0 plan based on pharmacist experience. [1][2]
    • Regulation & permitting: Opposes government overreach and regulation of botanicals like Kratom by the board of pharmacy. [1]
    • Taxes: Supports eliminating over taxation to create economic stability. [1]
  • LC
    Lee Calhoun

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • MH
    Michael Hummert

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • MJ
    Michael James Mr. Blackwolf

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • RN
    Reilly Neill

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • SB
    Seth Bodnar

    INDEPENDENT

    FEC filing ↗
    • Joni ErnstAshley Hinson2026 Iowa Senate race
    Full rundown + map →
    📊 Polling averageKurt Alme (R) 43.4%Seth Bodnar (I) 25.3%Alani Bankhead (D) 22.9%Kyle Austin (L) 3.9%(R) +18.15 polls · recency-weighted