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← Rundown2026 North Carolina Senate race

2026 election · U.S. Senate

2026 North Carolina Senate race

Incumbent: Thom Tillis (Republican)

Roy CooperRoy CooperDEMOCRATIC PARTY51.6%
MWMichael WhatleyREPUBLICAN PARTY43.9%
vsCooper +7.73 polls
IJR Line — pollster average adjusted by community Influence
OverviewPollsPositionsMedia

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first
WhatleyCooper
20%40%50%Jul 30Jan 27Jul 27Whatley 40.8%Cooper 49.8%
Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling
  • Thom Tillis
    Thom Tillis

    Republican · Incumbent

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (6) ▾
    • Banking & Financial Regulation: Serves on the Senate Banking Committee and has downplayed the systemic risk posed by bank failures such as Silicon Valley Bank, emphasizing bipartisan legislative approaches to economic issues. [1]
    • Election Law & Voting: Supports voter ID requirements and co-sponsored the SAVE Act, while opposing broad federal mandates that would override state-run mail-in balloting systems and opposing elimination of the legislative filibuster. [1]
    • Free Enterprise:

More races

Alma S. Adams2026 North Carolina House race — Alma S. Adams's seat · same ballotDonald G. Davis2026 North Carolina House race — Donald G. Davis's seat · same ballotChuck Edwards2026 North Carolina House race — Chuck Edwards's seat · same ballotVirginia Foxx2026 North Carolina House race — Virginia Foxx's seat · same ballotValerie P. Foushee2026 North Carolina House race — Valerie P. Foushee's seat · same ballotRichard Hudson2026 North Carolina House race — Richard Hudson's seat · same ballot

Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

PollsterDatesCandidate%
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R)2026-07-27Michael Whatley44
Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R)2026-07-27Roy Cooper53
Public Policy Polling2026-07-11Michael Whatley44
Public Policy Polling2026-07-11Roy Cooper48
New York Times/Siena University2026-06-27Michael Whatley43
New York Times/Siena University2026-06-27Roy Cooper50
Catawba College/YouGov2026-06-10Michael Whatley34
Catawba College/YouGov2026-06-10Roy Cooper48
Harper Polling2026-05-11Michael Whatley39
Harper Polling2026-05-11Roy Cooper50
Change Research2026-05-08Michael Whatley42
Change Research2026-05-08Roy Cooper49
Opinion Diagnostics2026-04-24Michael Whatley41
Opinion Diagnostics2026-04-24Roy Cooper50
High Point University/YouGov2026-04-06Michael Whatley42
High Point University/YouGov2026-04-06Roy Cooper50
Quantus Insights2026-04-01Michael Whatley44
Quantus Insights2026-04-01Roy Cooper49
Harper Polling2026-03-23Michael Whatley41
Harper Polling2026-03-23Roy Cooper49
Catawba College/YouGov2026-03-18Michael Whatley34
Catawba College/YouGov2026-03-18Roy Cooper48
Public Policy Polling2026-03-14Michael Whatley44
Public Policy Polling2026-03-14Roy Cooper47
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners Solutions2026-03-09Michael Whatley32
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners Solutions2026-03-09Roy Cooper50
Change Research2026-02-04Michael Whatley40
Change Research2026-02-04Roy Cooper50
TIPP Insights2026-01-15Michael Whatley24
TIPP Insights2026-01-15Roy Cooper48
Change Research2026-01-07Michael Whatley42
Change Research2026-01-07Roy Cooper47
Harper Polling2025-11-10Michael Whatley39
Harper Polling2025-11-10Roy Cooper47
Harper Polling2025-09-15Michael Whatley42
Harper Polling2025-09-15Roy Cooper46
Change Research2025-09-08Michael Whatley41
Change Research2025-09-08Roy Cooper48
Harper Polling2025-08-12Michael Whatley39
Harper Polling2025-08-12Roy Cooper47
Emerson College2025-07-30Michael Whatley41
Emerson College2025-07-30Roy Cooper47
Victory Insights2025-07-30Michael Whatley40
Victory Insights2025-07-30Roy Cooper43
Victory Insights (leaners included)2025-07-30Michael Whatley44
Victory Insights (leaners included)2025-07-30Roy Cooper44
Strongly supports free enterprise and private property rights as central to national economic prosperity.
[1]
  • Government Spending: Supports holding the line on federal spending and has voted against budgets he considers excessive, favoring fiscal restraint to balance the budget. [1]
  • Immigration & Border Security: Supports secure borders, physical barriers, opposes sanctuary city policies, and favors a merit-based legal immigration system tied to economic and workforce needs. [1][2][3]
  • Immigration Reform for Workforce Needs: Supports expanding access to guest worker visa programs like H-2B to address labor shortages in seasonal industries such as agriculture and tourism. [1]
  • BM
    Brian Mcginnis

    GREEN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (5) ▾
    • Democratic Rights: Supports protecting democratic rights. [1]
    • Economy and Jobs: Supports living wages, unions, worker-owned enterprises, and Green New Deal economic rights. [1]
    • Environment: Supports responsible stewardship of the planet. [1]
    • Foreign Policy: Opposes U.S. military actions in Iran and endless wars, favoring peace. [1][2]
    • Healthcare: Supports healthcare as a human right with access for all Americans. [1]
  • DB
    Don Brown

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (6) ▾
    • Abortion: Supports constitutional protection for the unborn. [1]
    • Federal Spending and Debt: Supports cutting two-thirds of nonmilitary federal personnel and agencies, requiring budgets with spending 10% below revenues, and applying savings to the national debt. [1][2]
    • Government Efficiency: Supports codifying DOGE to lock in efficiency, cut waste, and prevent reversal of reforms. [1]
    • National Security: Supports stronger domestic surveillance on radical Islamists and reevaluating First Amendment protections for dangerous ideologies. [1]
    • Taxation and IRS: Supports eliminating the IRS and federal income tax in favor of a Fair Tax system supplemented by tariffs. [1]
    • Vaccine and Mask Mandates: Supports federal protections against coercion into experimental vaccines or mask requirements. [1]
  • MW
    Marcus W. Williams

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • MD
    Margot Dupre

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • MW
    Michael Whatley

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • MM
    Michele Morrow

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • Roy Cooper
    Roy Cooper

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • Thomas Lee Johnson
    Thomas Lee Johnson

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • Wiley Nickel
    Wiley Nickel

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    • Full rundown + map →
    📊 Polling averageRoy Cooper 51.6%Michael Whatley 43.9%Cooper +7.73 polls · recency-weighted