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← Rundown2026 Arkansas Senate race

2026 election · U.S. Senate

2026 Arkansas Senate race

Incumbent: Tom Cotton (Republican)

Tom CottonTom CottonRepublican46%
Hallie ShoffnerHallie ShoffnerDEMOCRATIC PARTY43%
vsCotton +31 polls
IJR Line — pollster average adjusted by community Influence
OverviewPollsPositionsMedia

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first
CottonShoffner
40%45%60%Feb 9May 3Jul 25Cotton 52.0%Shoffner 39.5%
Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it
PollsterDatesCandidate%
2040 Strategy Group (D)2026-07-17 → 2026-07-25Tom Cotton46
2040 Strategy Group (D)2026-07-17 → 2026-07-25Hallie Shoffner

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling
  • Tom Cotton
    Tom Cotton

    Republican · Incumbent

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (11) ▾
    • Abortion: Pro-life; believes Roe v. Wade was wrongly decided and should be returned to state legislatures. [1]
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports mass deportations of criminal illegal immigrants, ending chain migration, and shifting to skills-based immigration system. [1]
    • China & trade: Opposes Chinese state-directed investments in Brazil agriculture that undermine Arkansas farmers and US economic ties.

More races

Bruce WestermanEric A. "Rick" Crawford2026 Arkansas House race — Eric A. "Rick" Crawford's seat · same ballotBruce WestermanEric Alan Rick Crawford2026 Arkansas House race — J. French Hill's seat · same ballotBruce WestermanEric Alan Rick Crawford2026 Arkansas House race — Steve Womack's seat · same ballotBruce WestermanEric Alan Rick Crawford2026 Arkansas House race — Bruce Westerman's seat · same ballot

Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

43
GrayHouse (R)2026-02-07 → 2026-02-09Tom Cotton58
GrayHouse (R)2026-02-07 → 2026-02-09Hallie Shoffner36
[1]
  • China Policy: Advocates ending U.S. economic dependence on China, decoupling supply chains, banning investment in strategic Chinese industries, and holding China's government accountable. [1]
  • Defense Spending: Supports increasing defense spending and has criticized budget rules requiring offsetting cuts elsewhere for defense increases. [1]
  • Election integrity: voter ID: Supports requiring proof of citizenship to vote and valid ID for all voters to ensure only eligible citizens participate. [1]
  • Energy production: Supports opening federal lands and Outer Continental Shelf to more oil and gas exploration and production; opposes cap-and-trade. [1]
  • Federal spending & debt: Opposes federal government spending, borrowing, and inflating its way to bankruptcy; favors pro-growth policies with low tax rates. [1]
  • Immigration: Supports shifting to a merit-based immigration system (RAISE Act) that reduces low-skilled immigration, protects U.S. wages, and prioritizes highly skilled workers and immediate family reunification. [1][2][3]
  • Iran and National Security: Supports U.S. military action against Iran's nuclear program, opposing a War Powers Resolution to limit executive military action against Iran. [1]
  • Parents' rights in education: Supports legislation preventing schools from concealing gender transitions from parents and allowing parents to sue non-compliant schools. [1]
  • EN
    Ethan N Sr. Dunbar

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
  • Hallie Shoffner
    Hallie Shoffner

    DEMOCRATIC PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (19) ▾
    • Agriculture: Supports fighting for farmers and rural communities with a better Farm Bill and policies aiding family farms. [1][2][3]
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports defunding ICE in its current form while criticizing agency practices. [1]
    • Climate: Views climate change as a threat to farming and groceries. [1]
    • Congressional stock trading: Supports banning stock trading by elected officials and placing assets in a blind trust. [1]
    • Cost of living: Supports lowering costs of groceries, childcare, housing, and healthcare for working families. [1]
    • Crime prevention: Supports investing in community-based crime prevention and supporting local law enforcement. [1][2]
    • Economy: Supports keeping jobs in Arkansas, growing local businesses, raising the minimum wage, and workforce training. [1]
    • Education: Supports investing in education and paying teachers and school staff fairly. [1]
    • Farmers: Supports fighting for farmers and rural communities and opposes the current Farm Bill. [1][2]
    • Federal spending & debt: Supports managing taxpayer dollars responsibly and cutting the deficit. [1][2]
    • Health care: Supports making healthcare affordable and accessible and restoring Medicaid. [1][2]
    • Healthcare: Supports making healthcare affordable and accessible and restoring Medicaid. [1][2]
    • Immigration enforcement: Supports defunding ICE in its current form. [1]
    • Social Security: Supports protecting and saving Social Security and Medicare. [1][2]
    • Social Security & Medicare: Supports protecting and strengthening Social Security and Medicare by lifting the contribution cap on the ultra-wealthy. [1][2][3]
    • Taxes: Supports cutting taxes for working families and blue-collar workers while opposing tax cuts for the wealthy. [1][2]
    • Trade: Supports targeted tariffs to protect industries but opposes blanket tariffs that harm farmers. [1]
    • Unions: Supports strengthening unions and workers' right to organize and bargain collectively. [1][2][3]
    • Workers' rights: Supports strengthening unions, collective bargaining, and the PRO Act to protect workers' rights to organize. [1][2][3]
  • JL
    Jeb Little

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (5) ▾
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports strong enforcement, an immigration moratorium, and policies relieving pressure on communities. [1][2]
    • Federal spending & debt: Opposes excessive Washington spending. [1]
    • Free speech & tech censorship: Opposes warrantless monitoring and backdoor access to personal devices. [1]
    • Gun policy: Supports responsible gun owners and opposes federal overreach on guns. [1][2]
    • Parents' rights in education: Supports parents’ rights, defends children, and promotes policies reflecting Arkansas values. [1]
  • JF
    Jeffrey Francis Wadlin

    LIBERTARIAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (6) ▾
    • Federal spending & debt: Opposes reckless spending and wars of aggression that fuel debt and drive up costs. [1]
    • Government role: Believes government should protect from violence and fraud, defend rights, and enforce fair rules while leaving families room to live freely. [1]
    • Health care: Supports regulating health care monopoly rates like utilities to ensure profit without overcharging customers. [1]
    • Middle class focus: Prioritizes policies optimizing for the middle class over culture wars, party bosses, or special interests. [1][2][3]
    • Monopolies and antitrust: Supports enforcing antitrust laws, challenging anti-competitive mergers, and using structural remedies against monopoly power. [1][2]
    • Tariffs: Opposes broad tariffs that raise prices of food, equipment, vehicles, and household goods. [1]
  • MA
    Micah Ashby

    REPUBLICAN PARTY

    FEC filing ↗
    Stated positions (10) ▾
    • Abortion: Pro-Life. [1]
    • Agriculture: Supports Arkansas farmers and advocates for policies beyond subsidies, including addressing seed monopolies. [1][2]
    • Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports secure borders and deportation of illegal immigrants. [1]
    • Congressional term limits: Supports implementing term limits in Congress to reduce corruption and ensure accountability. [1][2][3]
    • Federal spending & debt: Supports fiscal responsibility, balancing the budget, and reducing national debt. [1][2][3]
    • Gun policy: Advocates for the Second Amendment and opposes restrictions on lawful gun ownership. [1][2][3]
    • Health care: Supports affordable healthcare through market-driven solutions and medical system reform. [1][2]
    • Parents' rights in education: Supports parental choice, local control of schools, and opposes federal government involvement in education. [1][2]
    • School choice: Supports parental choice in education. [1]
    • Taxes: Opposes tax hikes and supports lower taxes. [1]
  • John CornynJames Talarico2026 Texas Senate race
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    Full rundown + map →
    📊 Polling averageTom Cotton 46%Hallie Shoffner 43%Cotton +31 polls · recency-weighted