2026 California governor's race

Incumbent: Gavin Newsom (Democratic) · not seeking re-election in this race

Xavier BecerraDemocratic Party (United States)92%

Steve HiltonRepublican Party (United States)8%

vsD +84Polymarket ↗

Implied chance of winning — live Polymarket prices

Public polling

Every synced reading, newest first

HiltonBecerra

Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it

Declared candidates

Source: Wikipedia + public polling

AA
Akinyemi Agbede
Democratic Party (United States)
AO
Alicia Olivia Lapp
Republican Party (United States)
AV
Antonio Villaraigosa
Democratic Party (United States)
BO
Barack Obama Shaw
Democratic Party (United States)
CB
Carolina Buhler

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Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

Pollster	Date	Becerra (D)	Hilton (R)	Spread
IJR Average	1 polls	61	36	Becerra+25
PPIC	6/29 – 7/6	61	36	Becerra+25
Kreate Strategies	6/13 – 6/17	58	33	Becerra+25
CEPP	5/23 – 5/26	58	35	Becerra+23
Berkeley IGS	5/19 – 5/24	52	31	Becerra+21