Lula Leads Bolsonaro in Brazil Poll

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the October election, with multiple polls showing Lula ahead but the gap narrowing by about a percentage point and remaining within the margin of error. In simulated second-round matchups, Lula is projected to win around 47% to Bolsonaro’s 43%. First-round projections place Lula in the high 30s, with Bolsonaro trailing by a single-digit margin and several other candidates splitting the rest. The polling occurred as the official campaign began, marking the start of legally permitted vote-seeking and underscoring a more competitive race than in July. The consistent takeaway across sources is that Lula’s lead remains intact but is increasingly contestable as voters evaluate both candidates in a politically charged environment. These results are reported by Reuters, The Straits Times, Devdiscourse, and Bloomberg News, highlighting a broad, international interest in Brazil’s race.